水库移民安置风险分析评价
首发时间:2008-09-27
摘要:随着我国大中型水利水电工程建设的加快,移民数量猛增,移民安置实施过程中将面临越来越多的风险因素。本文利用风险管理体系对水库移民安置风险进行分析评价。首先建立移民安置风险层次结构,运用专家打分法对风险指标的相对重要性进行主观概率评价;再运用AHP法赋值运算得风险权值分布。此外,模糊综合评价法将定性指标和定量指标有机地结合起来,解决了因素过多难以分配权重的问题。
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Analysis and Evaluation of Risks of Reservoir Resettlement
Abstract:As the construction of China’s large and medium-sized water conservancy and hydropower projects speeding up, the number of immigrants increases, the implementation of resettlement face with more and more risk factors. This paper analyses and evaluates these risks in the reservoir resettlement using the risk management system. First of all, establishes the hierarchy structure of resettlement risk and make subjective probability evaluation on the relative importance of risk index applying the Delphi method; Then assignment operate the risk weight distribution applying AHP method. At the same time, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method combines the qualitative indicators and quantitative, and solve the problem that the factor is too much to distribute weight.
Keywords: Reservoir Resettlement Delphi Method AHP Method Risk Evaluation
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No.2442732415812224****
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