对中国对外贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析
首发时间:2009-07-14
摘要:对外贸易与经济增长的关系问题一直是经济学界争论的一个焦点。本文根据我国1985 -2007年的出口、进口、居民消费、社会固定投资和国内生产总值等统计数据,在单位根和协整检验的基础上建立了误差修正模型,揭示了我国对外贸易与经济增长之间的长期关系和短期动态关系。
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A Co-integration Analysis on the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Economic Growth of China
Abstract:The relations between foreign trade and economic growth are one of the main debating problems in the economics field. Based on China’s data of Export, Imports, National consumption, Social fixed investment, and GDP between 1985 and 2007, this paper develops an Error Correction Model on unit root and co-integration test and revealed the long-run and short-run dynamic relations between China’s foreign trade and economic growth.
Keywords: China Foreign Trade Economic growth A Co- integration Analysis
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