全国水情信息及洪水预报预测业务系统 在丹江口水库的应用研究
首发时间:2011-09-15
摘要:本文介绍了全国水情信息及洪水预报预测业务系统在丹江口水库投入运用以来经历的两场典型洪水的预报案例,通过模型适用性问题、优选方案问题、参数选择问题、适时人为加入经验因素等问题重点分析总结了该系统在丹江口洪水预报作业中的使用策略,结合丹江口水库现有的其他洪水预报手段,正确、恰当地运用此系统可大幅提高洪水预报精度,明显降低人为处理大量多维数据带来的的不确定性,该系统可作为水库洪水预报作业的可靠参考工具。
关键词: 洪水预报 全国洪水预报业务系统 预报模型、方案优选、经验因素
For information in English, please click here
Application research of national hydrological information and flood forecasting system for Danjiangkou reservoir
Abstract:National hydrological information and flood forecasting system has been applied to DanJiangkou reservoir. Based on the actual case of flood forecasting in DanJiangkou reservoir, this paper analysis the applicability, optimization for scheme, parameter selection, and experienced factors and so on, demonstrates some critical principles which make a significant influence on forecasting precision. Results show several improvements on use of the system and forecasting accuracy in terms of expected values.
Keywords: flood forecasting national information and flood forecasting system forecast model, scheme-optimization, experienced factors
基金:
引用
No.****
同行评议
共计0人参与
勘误表
全国水情信息及洪水预报预测业务系统 在丹江口水库的应用研究
评论
全部评论0/1000