江苏省经济增长和产业结构变化对碳排放影响的实证研究
首发时间:2012-02-21
摘要:低碳经济已成为未来全球经济发展的新趋势,本文以江苏省为例,探讨经济增长和产业结构变化对碳排放的影响效应。本文选取1985-2009年江苏省的人均GDP、三大产业占总产值比率和碳排放量建立回归模型。结果表明,经济增长一定程度加深江苏省碳排放的压力。三大产业发展对碳排放存在正向的影响效应,且以工业为主的第二产业对江苏省碳排放的影响效应最大,而第三产业对其碳排放的影响较小且并不显著。
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Empirical Study on the Impact of Economic Growth and Industrial Structure in Jiangsu on Carbon Emission
Abstract:Low-carbon economy has become the new trend of global economic development. This paper mainly discusses the effect of changes of the economic growth and industry structure in Jiangsu on Carbon emission. This paper selected per capita GDP, industrial structure ratio and carbon emission to establish regression model. The results show that economic growth can deepen Jiangsu's carbon emission pressure to a certain extent. The development of three major industries has a positive impact on carbon emission. And the second industry has the largest impact in Jiangsu. In addition, the impact of the third industry on carbon emission is quite small and not significant.
Keywords: Economic growth Industrial Structure Carbon Emission
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