基于解释结构模型的城乡结合部突发事件触发源研究
首发时间:2014-06-16
摘要:为了有效地管理城乡结合部,降低城乡结合部突发事件发生的概率与风险。基于解释结构模型对城乡结合部突发事件触发因素进行分析,通过建立城乡结合部突发事件触发因素的关系结构模型,分析得到触发突发事件的表层影响因素、中层间接影响因素和深层根本影响因素,结果表明:人口因素是触发突发事件的深层根本因素,社会文化因素以及国家制度政策因素是中层影响因素,而土地因素、经济发展因素以及生态环境因素等是触发城乡结合部突发事件的表层因素。因此,政府在对城乡结合部的管理中,应该加强城乡结合部的人口管理,这在很大程度上会避免城乡结合部突发事件的发生,对政府的应急管理工作具有一定的参考价值。
关键词: 安全社会学 城乡结合部 突发事件 触发因素 解释结构模型
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The research of the trigger source of emergencies in urban fringe based on interpretive structural model
Abstract:In order to effectively manage the urban fringe, to reduce the probability and risk urban fringe emergencies occur. Structural model based on interpretation of the urban fringe emergencies trigger factors were analyzed, through the establishment of urban-rural relations emergencies triggered structural model of factors influencing factors analysis of the surface to get triggered emergencies, middle and deep fundamental affecting factors. The results showed that: Demographic factors triggering emergencies deep fundamental factors, social and cultural factors as well as the national system policy factors influencing factors is the middle, and land factors, economic factors and the development of ecological and environmental factors trigger the urban fringe emergencies surface factor. Therefore, the government's management of the urban fringe, it should strengthen the management of urban-rural population, which largely avoids fringe generating unit emergencies, has a certain reference value for government emergency management.
Keywords: Safety Sociology the combination of urban and rural emergency trigger interpretive structural model
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No.4599856906301401****
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