信贷扩张、研发投入与中国经济增长的“量”与“质”
首发时间:2016-10-25
摘要:本文基于1998-2012年全国省级面板数据,运用动态面板系统广义矩估计法,从数量和质量两个维度,实证分析了信贷扩张与研发投入对中国经济增长的作用。结果表明:从全国的总体来看,信贷扩张和研发投入对经济总量增长均起到了促进作用,但研发投入的作用强于信贷扩张;研发投入对经济质量提升同样具有正向促进作用,而信贷扩张则相反。此外,二者对经济增长的作用存在区域差异,对东部推动作用最强,中西部的推动作用较弱。"新常态"下推动中国经济发展,既需要信贷扩张形成的资本要素,更需要研发投入形成的创新要素。
关键词: 应用经济学 研发投入 信贷扩张 经济增长 系统广义矩估计
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Credit expansion, R&D investment and the “quantity” and “quality” of China economic growth
Abstract:Based on provincial panel data from 1998 to 2012, this paper uses the dynamic panel system GMM method and analyzes the impact of credit expansion and R&D investment on China's economic growth from quantitative and qualitative dimensions.The results show that: from the perspective of the whole country, credit expansion and R&D investment both play a positive role in promoting economic growth and the effect of R&D investment beyongd credit expansion; R&D investment has a positive effect in improving economic quality while the credit expansion is opposite.In addition, credit expansion is different from R&D investment in effect on promoting economic growth, and the strongest influence is the eastern region, the Midwest is weaker.Under "New normal", realizing China's economic development, not only need credit expansion forming capital elements, but also need R&D investment forming innovative elements.
Keywords: practical economics R&D credit expansion economic growth SGMM
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No.4706799116711514****
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