FDI对中国产能过剩的影响研究
首发时间:2018-04-09
摘要:中国工业的产能过剩问题在开放经济条件下呈现受内外因素共同冲击的特征。本文从开放视角研究了FDI与中国工业行业产能过剩的关系,推导出外商投资主要通过直接形成产能、对内资的相互激励效应、对本土企业的挤占效应、技术溢出效应和出口拉动效应这五个渠道来影响产能过剩。随后本文用实证方法从全行业整体角度检验了FDI对中国工业产能过剩的影响。结果表明从全行业整体来看,FDI比重的增加会加剧我国的产能过剩。为了化解产能过剩,我国需要从遏制投资膨胀、提高本土企业创新能力、深化"走出去"战略等方面入手来治理我国的产能过剩问题。
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A Research on the Influence of FDI on China\'s Excess Capacity
Abstract:The issue of overcapacity in China\'s industries is characterized by both internal and external factors in the open economy. This article studies the relationship between FDI and overcapacity in China\'s industrial sector from an open perspective, deducing that foreign investment mainly influences overcapacity through directly producing capacity, mutual incentive effect on domestic capital, crowding effect on domestic enterprises, technology spillover effect and export promotion effect. This article uses an empirical approach to examine the impact of FDI on China\'s industrial overcapacity from the perspective of the entire industry. The results show that from the perspective of the entire industry, the increase in the proportion of FDI will exacerbate China\'s excess capacity. As to resolve the problem of excess production capacity, the government needs to curb investment expansion, improve the ability of local enterprises to innovate, and deepen the "go global" strategy.
Keywords: International Trade FDI Excess Capacity Capacity Utilization Ratio
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