ERA-Interim降水数据在福建省的适用性评估
首发时间:2018-10-08
摘要:利用福建省25个观测站点的逐日降水资料,从不同的时间尺度对比分析了ERA-Interim再分析资料在福建省的适用性。结果发现:在整个研究区内,ERA-Interim可以基本反应出降水的年际变化过程,整体上具有较高的可信度。ERA-Interim降水数据在年尺度与站点观测数据间存在较好的一致性,但存在相对观测值来说更大的波动变化。月尺度ERA-Interim数据与地面观测数据的相关系数平均为0.7,相关性较高。季节尺度降水资料分析中,春季降水最为集中而且数据波动性较小,冬季的数据相关性最高同时波动也最大。日尺度ERA-Interim数据与地面观测数据的相关系数平均为0.65。25个点的再分析资料值均高于地面观测值,且存在相对观测值来说更大的波动变化。ERA-Interim所记录的有雨日与地面实测记录间存在的误差较大。根据研究区内山地走向,判断误差的主要来源可能为地形因素(如海拔、坡向)。除此之外,可通过对数据资料空间降尺度提高数据精度。
关键词: 自然地理学 再分析资料 ERA-Interim 降水 适用性
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Applicability assessment of ERA-Interim precipitation data in fujian province
Abstract:By using the precipitation data of 25 observation stations in fujian province, the applicability of ERA-Interim reanalysis data in fujian province was analyzed from different time scales.It was found that, in the whole research area, Era-interim could basically reflect the interannual change process of precipitation, which had high reliability. There is a good consistency between the ERA-Interim precipitation data and site observation data on the annual scale, but there are greater fluctuations than the observed data. The correlation coefficient of era-interim data and observation data on the lunar scale was 0.70.with high correlation. In the analysis of seasonal scale precipitation data, the spring precipitation was the most concentrated and the data was less volatile, and the winter data correlation was the highest and the most volatile. The correlation coefficient of the data of the day scale era-interim data and the observation data was 0.65.The reanalysis data of 25 sites was higher than that observation data, which is more volatile. The error between the rainfall date recorded by era-interim and the station is large. According to the mountain direction in the study area, the main source of the error may be topographic factors such as altitude and slope direction. In addition, the data accuracy can be improved by downscaling.
Keywords: Physical geography Reanalysis of data ERA - Interim Precipitation Applicability
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