跨国供应链汇率波动的中断管理策略分析
首发时间:2018-12-05
摘要:"一带一路"战略的实施使更多的企业得以走出国门,随之而来汇率风险问题在跨国企业间逐渐显露,成为供应链管理的必要考量。本文研究了跨国供应链在汇率波动下的应对策略,刻画了一个制造商占主导地位且面临双侧汇率波动的三级跨国供应链模型。运用中断管理方法,从供应链整体角度比较了汇率波动时采取的三种策略:无应对措施、制造商独自应对和供应链协同应对。比较发现:无论汇率如何变动,制造商独自应对都不是最佳选择;汇率波动较小时应维持原计划,汇率波动较大时供应链应协同应对;另外还发现了相对于汇率稳定市场,供应链协同应对策略在汇率不稳定市场间作用效果更为显著。
关键词: 物流与供应链管理 汇率波动; 跨国供应链; 中断管理; 协同应对
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Research on Strategy analysis of interruption management on exchange rate fluctuation of global supply chain
Abstract:The implementation of the "Belt and Road Initiative" has enabled more enterprises to go abroad. As a result, the exchange rate risk has gradually become exposed among multinational corporations and has become a necessary consideration for supply chain management. This paper studies the coping strategies of global supply chains under exchange rate fluctuations, and depicts a three-level global supply chain model with manufacturers dominated who facing bilateral exchange rate fluctuations. By using interruption management method, we compare the three strategies taken in the fluctuation of exchange rate from the perspective of supply chain as a whole: no response, manufacturers alone and supply chain coordination. The comparison shows that: no matter how the exchange rate changes, it\'s not the best choice that manufacturers deal with the challenge alone; When the exchange rate fluctuation is small, the original plan should be maintained. When the exchange rate fluctuates greatly, the supply chain should cooperate; In addition, Collaborative coping strategies play an even more significant role in markets with volatile exchange rates than markets with stable exchange rates.
Keywords: logistics and supply chain management exchange-rate fluctuation global supply chain interruption management collaborative coping strategies
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