贸易投资便利化的门槛效应

喻胜华; 聂早暖

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贸易投资便利化的门槛效应

首发时间：2018-12-03

喻胜华 ¹
喻胜华（1964-），男，教授、博导，数量经济学
聂早暖 ¹
聂早暖（1994-），女，硕士，国际贸易学

1、湖南大学经济与贸易学院，湖南，长沙，410079

摘要：本文基于46个一带一路沿线国家2010-2016年的平衡面板数据，首先采用广义矩估计方法实证检验贸易投资便利化对一带一路沿线国家双边贸易额的影响。在此基础上，我们建立静态面板门槛模型进一步检验影响双边贸易额发生差异的贸易投资便利化的门槛特征，并从基础设施质量、信息技术应用、经济与政治环境、金融服务和海关边境管制五个方面测算相应的门槛效应。研究结果表明：贸易投资便利化对双边贸易额有显著的正向影响；经济与政治环境和海关边境管制存在双重门槛效应;当经济与政治环境和海关边境管制水平突破门限后位于优化区间时，贸易投资便利化对双边贸易额的促进作用会进一步凸显。

关键词：贸易投资便利化一带一路面板门槛回归

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The Threshold Effect of Trade and Investment Facilitation.

Yu ShengHua ¹
喻胜华（1964-），男，教授、博导，数量经济学
Nie ZaoNuan ¹
聂早暖（1994-），女，硕士，国际贸易学

1、Hunan Univesity School of economics and trade,HuNan,ChangSha,410079

Abstract：This article is based on the balance panel data of 46 countries along with the Belt and Road in 2010-2016.We first use the generalized method of moment to checkout the influence of trade and investment facilitation on the bilateral trade volume about the countries along with the Belt and Road. On this basis, we establish a static panel threshold modeThe Threshold Effect of Trade and Investment Facilitationl to further tThe Threshold Effect of Trade and Investment Facilitation.est the threshold characteristics of trade and investment facilitation, The Threshold Effect of Trade and Investment Facilitation.which make difference in bilateral trade volume, and measure the corresponding threshold effect in five aspects-the quality of infrastructure, information technologyThe Threshold Effect of Trade and Investment Facilitation. applications, economic and political environment, financial services and customs border control. The results show that trade and investment facilitation has a significant positive impact on bilateral trade. Economic and political environment as well as the customs border control have double threshold effect. When the The Threshold Effect of Trade and Investment Facilitation.level of economic and political environment as well as the customs border control is located in the optimum range after breaking through the threshold, trade and investment facilitation will further highlight the positive impact on the bilateral trade volume.

Keywords： trade and investment facilitation the Belt and Road panel threshold regression

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喻胜华，聂早暖. 贸易投资便利化的门槛效应[EB/OL]. 北京：中国科技论文在线 [2018-12-03]. https://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201812-2.

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论文编号	201812-2
论文题目	贸易投资便利化的门槛效应
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