Analysis of PVAR Model for Influencing Factors Analysis of PVAR Model of Factor Relationship in High-tech Industry Ecosystem of Guangdong Province

• 1、Economic School, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632
• 2、Office of Scientific R&D, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632
• 3、Management School,Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632

Abstract：At present, the development of high-tech industries is the core driving force for social and economic growth. With the comprehensive construction of a well-off society and the realization of modernization in China, the extraordinary use of resources and energy and the destruction of the ecological environment in industrialization are becoming more and more serious, especially in Guangdong Province. Promoting the development of high-tech industries in Guangdong Province and the coordination of resource carrying capacity and environmental capacity have become inevitable choices for achieving sustainable socio-economic development. Therefore, this paper selects the data establishment index system of 21 cities in Guangdong Province from 2005 to 2016 from the aspects of high-tech industry development, ecological environment and social progress. The CRITIC method with entropy improvement is used to empower each index, and the evaluation index is calculated. Based on this, the PVAR model is established. Through the analysis of impulse response function, there is a continuous mutual promotion relationship between industrial development and social progress in the industrial ecosystem. Industrial development has a certain inhibitory effect on the ecological environment, and corresponding suggestions are put forward.

Keywords： Industrial Ecology Evaluation index PVAR model