东盟贸易便利化对中国-东盟进出口的影响研究
首发时间:2019-04-17
摘要:随着经济全球化不断发展,自由贸易在国家间进一步展开,世界各国关税水平大幅下降。然而降低关税难以成为贸易发展的推动力,贸易的"非效率"作为一种隐形成本对贸易的影响越来越重要。在此背景下推动贸易便利化成为各国学者和业界关注的焦点。中国与东盟在经济上有着密切的联系,我国在推进"一带一路"建设进程中积极寻求与东盟各国的对接,共同促进区域的发展与繁荣。本文通过构建4个一级指标和15个二级指标来测算中国和东盟国家的贸易便利化水平,选取2009-2016年的样本数据,运用引力模型分析了东盟国家贸易便利化水平对中国-东盟双边贸易流量的影响。研究表明:(1)东盟国家的贸易便利化程度越高,对双边贸易流量的促进作用越大,且贸易便利化水平对贸易流量的影响要大于关税对贸易流量的影响;(2)贸易便利化的各分项指标中,金融与信息技术对中国-东盟双边贸易的影响幅度最大,其次是海关环境和政府环境,最后是基础设施质量。
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Research on the Impact of ASEAN Trade Facilitation on China-ASEAN Import and Export
Abstract:With the continuous development of economic globalization, free trade has been further developed among countries, and the tariff levels of countries around the world have fallen sharply. However, reducing tariffs is difficult to become a driving force for trade development. The "inefficiency" of trade is increasingly important as a form of implicit influence on trade. Promoting trade facilitation in this context has become the focus of scholars and industry in various countries. China and ASEAN have close economic ties. China is actively seeking to connect with ASEAN countries in the process of promoting the "Belt and Road" to jointly promote regional development and prosperity. This paper builds four first-level indicators and 15 second-level indicators and select the sample data from 2009 to 2016 to measure the level of trade facilitation between China and ASEAN countries, and then use the gravity model to analyze the impact of ASEAN countries\' trade facilitation on China-ASEAN bilateral trade flows: (1) The higher the degree of ASEAN countries\' trade facilitation , the greater the promotion of bilateral trade flows, and the impact of trade facilitation on trade flows is greater than the impact of tariffs on trade flows; (2) among the various indicators of trade facilitation, Information technology has the greatest impact on China-ASEAN bilateral trade, followed by the customs environment and government environment, and finally the quality of infrastructure.
Keywords: trade facilitation China-ASEAN Free Trade Area trade flow
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东盟贸易便利化对中国-东盟进出口的影响研究
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