我国上市与非上市商业银行盈余管理研究
首发时间:2019-05-24
摘要:当前经济的发展日益迅猛,盈余管理也被越来越多的企业所使用。商业银行,作为我国国民经济中的中坚力量,其盈余管理问题也日益成为国内外学者们的研究热点。近年来,我国银行信贷风险管理和控制的复杂性与日俱增,金融监管部门也积极采取一系列措施来保障商业银行的稳健经营。本文的研究样本是我国162家商业银行的大量数据,定义了包括不良贷款率在内的8个变量,构建了多元回归模型,运用RATS计量软件进行实证,对实证结果进行描述性统计和相关性分析。此外还将商业银行分为上市商业银行和非上市商业银行两组样本进行分组回归,进行对比分析并得出相应结论。发现我国商业银行的贷款损失准备的计提受到明显的盈余管理动机的影响和负向的信号传递的影响,并且上市商业银行受到盈余管理动机的影响程度更强,而非上市商业银行受到负向信号传递的影响程度更强。最后针对研究结论,本文从金融监管层、商业银行和市场投资者的角度提出了几点建议。
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Research on Earnings Management of China\'s Listed and Unlisted Commercial Banks
Abstract:At present, with the rapid development of economy, earnings management is also used by more and more enterprises. As the backbone of China\'s national economy, the earnings management of commercial banks has increasingly become a research hotspot of scholars at home and abroad. In recent years, the complexity of credit risk management and control of banks in China is increasing day by day. Financial supervision departments also take a series of measures to ensure the stable operation of commercial banks. The sample of this paper is a large number of data of 162 commercial banks in China. Eight variables including non-performing loan rate are defined, and a multiple regression model is constructed. The empirical results are analyzed by descriptive statistics and correlation analysis using RATS measurement software. In addition, the commercial banks are divided into listed commercial banks and non-listed commercial banks for grouping regression,comparative analysis and corresponding conclusions. It is found that the provision of loan loss reserve of Chinese commercial banks is influenced by obvious earnings management motivation and negative signal transmission, and listed commercial banks are more affected by earnings management motivation, while non-listed commercial banks are more affected by negative signal transmission. Finally, according to the research conclusion, this paper puts forward some suggestions from the perspective of financial supervision, commercial banks and market investors.
Keywords: Commercial banks Earnings management Loan loss provision Signal transmission
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