基于机器学习的优化股票多因子模型
首发时间:2019-10-23
摘要:本文旨在构建机器学习优化股票多因子模型,用以处理A股市场风格切换和选股问题来最终获得超额收益。分别从因子表达,机器学习算法两个角度来对A股市场股票的波动规律进行研究,获取最大回撤的超额收益。首先构建因子分析模型来筛选出7个最优因子。然后构建了基于机器学习的随机森林模型,通过随机森林回测某段时间的股票波动情况。本文使用公开的2016 年1月1日至2018年9月30日我国A股市场的数据对算法性能进行评估。实验结果显示回测的正确率为83%。收益的平均利率约为1.57%。
关键词: 计算机应用超额收益 随机森林 熵风险 机器学习算法
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Optimized stock multi-factor model based on Machine Learning
Abstract:The purpose of this paper is to build an optimized stock multi-factor model based on machine learning to deal with A-share market style switching and stock picking issues to finally obtain excess returns. From the perspective of factor expression and machine learning algorithm, the paper studies the fluctuation law of A-share market stocks and obtains the maximum return of excess returns. First, a factor analysis model was constructed to screen out seven optimal factors. Then a stochastic forest model based on machine learning is constructed, and the stock fluctuations of a certain period of time are measured through random forests. This paper uses the published data from China\'s A-share market from January 1, 2016 to September 30, 2018 to evaluate the performance of the algorithm. The experimental results show that the correct rate of backtesting is 83%. The average interest rate on earnings is about 1.57%.
Keywords: Computer application excess return random forest entropy risk Machine Learning algorithm
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