Has Economic Agglomeration Driven Farmers in Poor Areas to Increase Income Sending Themselves out of Poverty? Comparison between poverty-stricken and non-poverty counties

• 1、Economics and Business School, Chongqing University, Chongqing

Abstract：Based on the perspective of agglomeration and poverty reduction, this paper selects the Sichuan-Chongqing region, which has the most dynamic economy and relatively prominent poverty problem in the western region, as a research sample, and uses the panel data of 218 districts in the region to study the impact of economic agglomeration on farmer's income, and analyzes its influential mechanism with the theory of spatial economics. Construct the spatial weight matrix of economic distance and use the dynamic spatial Durbin model for empirical analysis. The study found that economic agglomeration is not conducive to the growth of local farmer's income in the short run, but it has positive direct effects and spillover effects on it in the long run, and that farmer's income has the characteristics of path dependence and snowball in time dimension, which verifies the scale effect of economic agglomeration on farmer\'s income and its attenuation characteristics with distance. This paper further studies the spatial asymmetry of the impact in non-poverty and poverty-stricken counties, and the results of the study support that economic agglomeration will not only promote the increase of farmer's income in poverty-stricken counties, but will cause further deterioration of it in the region.

Keywords： Regional Economics Economies agglomeration Farmer's income growth Dynamic spatial panel model Spatial asymmetry