土地财政对制造业结构升级的影响
首发时间:2020-06-05
摘要:本文从理论上梳理出了土地财政对制造业结构升级的路径。并采用2001年-2016年30个省级面板数据进行了系统GMM实证回归分析。研究结果表明,土地财政对制造业结构升级的作用呈现出"倒U型"效应。在土地财政发展的前期,土地财政可以通过促进地区城镇化以及补贴工业企业的方式促进制造业企业结构升级。但是随着土地财政愈演愈烈,房价的急速攀升又会反过来吞噬制造业企业的利润,抑制了制造业的结构升级。因此,各地政府应防范土地财政规模攀升过快影响制造业结构升级发展。
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The impact of land finance on the upgrading of manufacturing structure
Abstract:In order to discuss the impact of land finance on the upgrading of manufacturing structure, this paper analyzes the general path of manufacturing upgrading to extract the factors that affect the upgrading of manufacturing structure, and theoretically sorts out the role of land finance on the upgrading of manufacturing structure. And use 30 provincial panel data from 2001 to 2016 to conduct a systematic GMM empirical regression analysis. The results of the study show that the role of land finance in the upgrading of the manufacturing structure presents an "inverted U" effect. That is, in the early stage of the development of land finance, land finance can promote the upgrading of the structure of manufacturing enterprises by promoting regional urbanization and subsidizing industrial enterprises. But as land finances intensify, the rapid rise in housing prices will in turn devour the profits of manufacturing companies, inhibiting the structural upgrading of manufacturing. Therefore, local governments should prevent the rapid rise in the scale of land finance from affecting the upgrading of the manufacturing structure.
Keywords: Land finance manufacturing structural upgrading
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