基于XGBoost的转炉终点预测模型
首发时间:2020-09-04
摘要:在转炉冶炼的生产过程中,终点的命中率的高低对转炉至关重要,终点预测的准确程度会对产品的质量和冶炼的成本都产生一定的影响。为了提高转炉终点的命中率,本文利用XGBoost算法搭建了转炉终点预测模型,通过分析各个影响因素对结果的影响权重,将其赋予XGBoost算法中的相应的分支节点,用某钢厂的198炉次工艺数据作为待测数据,通过基于XGBoost的转炉终点预测模型预测转炉终点的碳含量和温度值,并利用基于案例推理的转炉终点预测模型实现了终点温度预测,作为对比试验。结果表明:基于XGBoost的转炉终点预测模型对于温度和碳含量两个预测值都具有较高的准确率,基本满足生产要求。
关键词: 钢铁冶金 转炉终点预测模型 XGBoost算法 终点碳含量 终点温度
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XGBoost-based converter endpoint prediction model
Abstract:In the production process of converter smelting, the hit rate of the end point is very important to the converter. The accuracy of the end point prediction will have a certain impact on the quality of the product and the cost of smelting. In order to improve the hit rate of the converter end point, this paper uses the XGBoost algorithm to build a converter end point prediction model. By analyzing the influence weight of each influencing factor on the result, it is assigned XGBoost-based converter endpoint prediction modelto the corresponding branch node in the XGBoost algorithm, using 198 heats from a steel plant The process data is used as the data to be tested. The carbon content and temperature value of the converter endpoint are predicted by the XGBoost-based converter endpoint prediction model, and the endpoint temperature prediction is achieved by using the converter endpoint prediction model based on case-based reasoning as a comparative experiment. The results show that the converter endpoint prediction model based on XGBoost has high accuracy for both the temperature and carbon content predictions, which basically meets the production requirements.
Keywords: ferrous metallurgy converter end point prediction model XGBoost algorithm end point carbon content end temperature
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