基于重力模型法的中国玉米物流规划研究
首发时间:2022-06-27
摘要:对我国的粮食物流背景基于重力模型法的中国玉米物流规划研究进行综述,阐述我国粮食流通中的流程、模式、成本组成以及粮仓建设,以及对我国近些年的粮食物流政策做大致的了解。分别从粮食的流通过程、物流模式、物流中的成本组成以及粮仓建设情况分别探讨不同物流或存储模式的优劣与如今我国在粮食的流通过程中存在的问题。推导疫情前我国各省市玉米的发生量与吸引量,对玉米的产销区做出划分。利用四阶段法中进行物流分配预测的重力模型进行各省市的需求预测,根据所得结果与"粮食物流业"十三五"发展规划"相结合。随后针对玉米物流中的主要流通线路与流通节点的选取提出相应的建议。
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Research on China\'s Corn Logistics Planning Based on Gravity Model Method
Abstract:This paper summarizes the background of China\'s grain logistics, expounds the process, mode, cost composition and granary construction of China\'s grain circulation, and gives a general understanding of China\'s grain logistics policy in recent years. This paper discusses the advantages and disadvantages of different logistics or storage modes and the problems existing in the current grain circulation process in China from the perspective of grain circulation process, logistics mode, cost composition in logistics and granary construction. The occurrence and attraction of corn in various provinces and cities in China before the epidemic were deduced, and the production and sales areas of corn were divided. Using the gravity model for logistics distribution prediction in the four-stage method to forecast the demand of each province and city, and combine the obtained results with the "Grain Logistics Industry" 13th Five-Year "Development Plan". Then put forward corresponding suggestions for the selection of main Research on China\'s Corn Logistics Planning Based on Gravity Model Methodcirculation routes and circulation nodes in corn logistics.
Keywords: Grain logistics logistics transportation logistics forecasting gravity model
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