榆林市碳排放现状及影响因素研究
首发时间:2022-10-28
摘要:碳排放问题现如今成为国内外学者研究的焦点问题。研究碳排放相关问题,特别是城市的碳排放有助于实现2030"碳达峰"2060"碳中和"目标。榆林市是典型的煤炭城市、重工业城市,节能减排压力相当大。本文首先分析了榆林市能源消费和碳排放现状,然后选取榆林市2005-2020年的人口、经济、能源、产业等相关数据,运用灰色关联度分析模型研究榆林市碳排放主要影响因素,研究结果表明煤炭消费总量和火力发电量对榆林市碳排放的影响作用最大,其次为GDP、人均GDP、煤炭生产总量、能源强度、人口、一次能源结构、产业结构。最后根据榆林市实际情况提出了降低煤炭消费总量、发展现代煤化工产业、大力发展旅游业、农业等建议。
关键词: 生态经济学 碳排放 影响因素 灰色关联度分析 建议
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Study on the current situation and influencing factors of carbon emissions in Yulin
Abstract:Carbon emission has now become the focus of scholars at home and abroad. Studying the issues related to carbon emissions, especially urban carbon emissions, will help to achieve the 2030 "carbon peak" and 2060 "carbon neutral" goals. Yulin is a typical coal city and heavy industrial city, with considerable pressure on energy conservation and emission reduction. This paper first analyzes the current situation of energy consumption and carbon emissions in Yulin City, and then selects the population, economy, energy, industry and other relevant data of Yulin City from 2005 to 2020 to study the main influencing factors of carbon emissions in Yulin City by using the gray correlation analysis model. The research results show that the total amount of coal consumption and thermal power generation have the largest impact on carbon emissions in Yulin City, followed by GDP, GDP per capita, total coal production, energy intensity, population , primary energy structure and industrial structure. Finally, according to the actual situation of Yulin, some suggestions are put forward, such as reducing the total coal consumption, developing modern coal chemical industry, vigorously developing tourism and agriculture.
Keywords: Ecological economics Carbon emissions Influencing factors Grey correlation analysis proposal
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