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期刊论文

Middle-long power load forecasting based on particle swarm optimization☆

牛东晓Dongxiao Niu a Jinchao Li a* Jinying Li b Da Liu a

Computers and Mathematics with Applications 57(2009)1883-1889,-0001,():

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摘要/描述

Middle-long forecasting of electric power load is crucial to electric investment, which is the guarantee of the healthy development of electric industry. In this paper, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) is used as a training algorithm to obtain the weights of the single forecasting method to form the combined forecasting method. Firstly, several forecasting methods are used to do middle-long power load forecasting. Then the upper forecasting methods are measured by several indices and the entropy method is used to form a comprehensive forecasting method evaluation index, following which the PSO is used to attain a combined forecasting method (PSOCF) with the best objective function value. We then obtain the final result by adding all the results of every single forecasting method. Taking actual load data of a power grid company in North China as a sample, the results show that PSOCF model improves the forecasting precision compared to the traditional models.

【免责声明】以下全部内容由[牛东晓]上传于[2010年01月25日 21时20分44秒],版权归原创者所有。本文仅代表作者本人观点,与本网站无关。本网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。

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