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2005年07月04日

【期刊论文】Definition of Antarctic oscillation index

龚道溢, Daoyi Gong Shaowu Wang

,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

Following Walker's work about his famous three oscillations published during the 1920-30s, many papers were wrilten about atmospheric oscillations A fourth atmospheric oscillation in the middle and high southern latitudes was found, and named the Antarctic Oscillation (AO) AO refers to a laroe scale alternation of atmospheric mass between the mid-latitudes and high latihldes surface pressure In order to understand the spatial structure of sea level pressure variation in detail, empirical orthogonal flmcfion analysis is applied An ol2iective index of the Antarctic Oscillation Index (AOI) is defined as the difference of zonal mean sea level pressure between 40

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2005年07月04日

【期刊论文】A Preliminary Study on the Relationship Between Arctic Oscillation and Daily SLP Variance in the Northern Hemisphere During Wintertime

龚道溢, GONG Daoyi , and Helge DRANGE

ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 22, NO.3, 2005, 313-327,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

In the present study, the authors investigated the relationship between the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the high-frequency variability of daily sea level pressures in the Northern Hemisphere in winter (November through March), using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets for the time period of 1948/49-2000/01. High-frequency signals are defined as those with timescales shorter than three weeks and measured in terms of variance, for each winter for each grid. The correlations between monthly mean AO index and high-frequency variance are conducted. A predominant feature is that several regional centers with high correlation show up in the middle to high latitudes. Significant areas include mid- to high-latitude Asia centered at Siberia, northern Europe and the middle-latitude North Atlantic east of northern Africa. Their strong correlations can also be confirmed by the singular value decomposition analysis of covariance between mean SLP and high-frequency variance. This indicates that the relationship of AO with daily Sea Level Pressure (SLP) is confined to some specific regions in association with the inherent atmospheric dynamics. In middle-latitude Asia, there is a significant (at the 95% level) trend of variance of -2.26% (10yr)−1. Another region that displays a strong trend is the northwestern Pacific with a significant rate of change of 0.80% (10 yr)−1. If the winter of 1948/49, an apparent outlier, is excluded, a steady linear trend of +1.51% (10 yr)−1 shows up in northern Europe. The variance probability density functions (PDFs) are found to change in association with different AO phases. The changes corresponding to high and low AO phases, however, are asymmetric in these regions. Some regions such as northern Europe display much stronger changes in high AO years, whereas some other regions such as Siberia show a stronger connection to low AO conditions. These features are supported by ECMWF reanalysis data. However, the dynamical mechanisms involved in the AO-high frequency SLP variance connection have not been well understood, and this needs further study.

Arctic Oscillation,, sea level pressure (, SLP), ,, Northern Hemisphere,, synoptic variance

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2005年07月04日

【期刊论文】北极涛动对我国冬季日气温方差的显著影响

龚道溢, 龚道溢①, 王绍武②, 朱锦红②

科学通报,1999,44(3):487~491,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

利用1954~2001年我国150站日平均气温资料,分析了历年冬季期间(11月1日到次年3月31日)气温方差的变化与北极涛动的关系。发现北极涛动处于较强的正位相时,我国日平均气温方差偏小,反之则偏强。主要是通过影响西伯利亚高压中心区的海平面气压的高频变率而影响我国日气温的波动。季节尺度内异常低温事件(日气温距平<−2σ,σ为各站各冬季日气温距平的标准差)频次与气温方差之间存在反常的关系:温度方差大(小)时,异常低温事件频次下降(上升)。这与气温的非正态分布有关,也明显受北极涛动位相及强弱的影响。近50年来随着北极涛动指数的增强,西伯利亚高压中心区海平面气压方差显著下降(−10.7%/10a),我国日气温的变率也在显著减少(−4.1%/10a),而异常低温事件频次则显著增加(0.16d/10a)。

北极涛动, 日平均气温, 方差, 极值

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2005年07月04日

【期刊论文】INTRA-SEASONAL VARIABILITY OF WINTERTIME TEMPERATURE OVER EAST ASIA

龚道溢, DAO-YI GONG a, * and CHANG-HOI Ho b

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY Int. J. Climatol. 24: 131-144 (2004),-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

There has been a profound warming over East Asia during the winter months (November through to March) over the past few decades. The goal of this study is to address the question of whether the daily temperature has become more variable in conjunction with this warming by using observed temperature data obtained from 155 Chinese and Korean stations. Prior to the analysis, the annual cycle is removed to obtain daily temperature anomalies for each winter for each station. Results show that the intra-seasonal variance generally decreases, implying that the daily temperatures are becoming less variable. Considering all stations as a whole, the rate of change is −0.49℃2 per decade (equivalent to −3.59% per decade). The changes are more robust in the northeastern portion of China. In contrast, there are no dominant trends for the skewness coefficients, except for clear negatively skewed trends in northeastern China. These results are consistent with an increase in the number of extremely cold events. Over the region, the frequency of low-temperature extremes (as low as below minus two standard deviations) increases at a rate of change of 0.26 days per decade, significant at the 95% confidence level. Both the Siberian high and Arctic oscillation (AO) exert a notable influence on the temperature variance. Intra-seasonal variance of the Siberian high and AO are significantly correlated with the temperature variance, whereas the seasonal mean state of the AO affects the temperature variance by modulating the high-frequency components of theSiberian high. The intra-seasonal variance of the Siberian high tends to decline at a rate of change of −10.7% per decade, significant at the 99% level; meanwhile, the mean wintertime AOs have strengthened in the last few decades. These two climate features together make a considerable contribution to the changes in intra-seasonal temperature variance in East Asia. Copyright

East Asia, intra-seasonal variance, skewness coefficient, extremes, trend

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2005年07月04日

【期刊论文】Detection of large-scale climate signals in spring vegetation index (normalized difference vegetation index) over the Northern Hemisphere

龚道溢, Dao-Yi Gong, Chang-Hoi Ho

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 108, NO.D16, 4498, 2003,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

normalized difference vegetation index,, climate impact,, atmospheric circulation,, teleconnection,, vegetation change

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    北京师范大学,北京

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