您当前所在位置: 首页 > 学者

李小明

  • 42浏览

  • 0点赞

  • 0收藏

  • 0分享

  • 18下载

  • 0评论

  • 引用

期刊论文

Prediction of the amount of urban waste solids by applying a gray theoretical model

李小明LI Xiao-ming ZENG Guang-ming WANG Ming LIU Jin-jin

Journal of Environmental Sciences Vol. 15, No.1, pp. 43-46, 2003,-0001,():

URL:

摘要/描述

Urban waste solids are now becoming one of the most crucial environmental problems. There are several different kinds of technologies normally used for waste solids disposal, among which landfill is more favorable in China than others, especially for urban waste solids. Most of the design works up to now are based on a roughly estimation of the amount of urban waste solids without any theoretical support, which lead to a series problems. To meet the basic information requirements for the design work, the amount of the urban waste solids was predicted in this research by applying the gray theoretical model GM (1,1) through non2linear differential equation simulation. The model parameters were estimated with the least square method (LSM) by running a certain MATALAB program, and the hypothesis test results show that the residual between the prediction value and the actual value approximately comply with the normal distribution N (0,01212), and the probability of the residual within the range (-0117, 0119) is more than 95%, which indicate obviously that the model can be well used for the prediction of the amount of waste solids and those had been already testified by the latest two years data about the urban waste solids from Loudi City of China. With this model, the predicted amount of the waste solids produced in Loudi City in the next 30 years is 8049000 ton in total .

【免责声明】以下全部内容由[李小明]上传于[2009年03月24日 10时32分48秒],版权归原创者所有。本文仅代表作者本人观点,与本网站无关。本网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。

我要评论

全部评论 0

本学者其他成果

    同领域成果