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期刊论文

Chaotic phenomenon and the maximum predictable time scale of observation series of urban hourly water consumption*

张土乔LIU Jing-qing ZHANG Tu-qiao Yu Shen-kai

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摘要/描述

The chaotic characteristics and maximum predictable time scale of the observation series of hourly water consumption in Hangzhou were investigated using the advanced algorithm, presented here is based on the conventional Wolf'salgorithm for the largest Lyapunov exponent. For comparison, the largest Lyapunov exponents of water consumption series with one-hour and 24-hour intervals were calculated respectively. The results indicated that chaotic characteristic obviously exist in the hourly water consumption system, and that observation series with 24-hour interval have longer maximum predictable scale than hourly series. These findings could have significant practical application for better prediction of urban hourly water consumption.

【免责声明】以下全部内容由[张土乔]上传于[2005年05月25日 19时35分27秒],版权归原创者所有。本文仅代表作者本人观点,与本网站无关。本网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。

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