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朱永利

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Reliability Assessment of Power Systems by Bayesian Networks

朱永利Huo Limin Zhu Yongli Fan Gaofeng

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摘要/描述

This paper presents an application method of Bayesian networks (BN) to the reliability assessment of power systems. Bayesian networks provide a flexible framework to represent probabilistic information and to make inference on it. Uncertainty and dependency of the components' information in a system are easily incorporated in the analysis. The flexibility of the probabilistic nference algorithms in Bayesian networks permit to compute both the system's reliability indices and the mutual affection on reliability indices of all components. However, a BN cannot be constructed easily based on the topology of the relating power system. The paper gives a new method to construct a Bayesian network based on the assessed system's fault tree or its minimal path set. The method is efficient and can compute components failure probabilities on the condition of the system failure. Its advantages are demonstrated through two examples.

【免责声明】以下全部内容由[朱永利]上传于[2005年02月24日 23时50分55秒],版权归原创者所有。本文仅代表作者本人观点,与本网站无关。本网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。

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