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2014年01月06日

【期刊论文】Price game and chaos control among three oligarchs with differentrationalities in property insurance market

马军海

,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

Combining with the actual competition in Chinese property insurance market and assuming that the property insurance companies take the marginal utility maximization as the basis of decision-making when they play price games, we first established the price game model with three oligarchs who have different rationalities. Then, we discussed the existence and stability of equilibrium points. Third, we studied the theoretical value of Lyapunov exponent at Nash equilibrium point and its change process with the main parameters’ changes though having numerical simulation for the system such as the bifurcation, chaos attractors, and so on. Finally, we analyzed the influences which the changes of different parameters have on the profits and utilities of oligarchs and their corresponding competition advantage. Based on this, we used the variable feedback control method to control the chaos of the system and stabilized the chaos state to Nash equilibrium point again. The results have significant theoretical and practical application value.

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2011年05月17日

【期刊论文】Multivariate Nonlinear Analysis and Prediction of Shanghai Stock Market

马军海, Junhai Ma and Lixia Liu

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society Volume 2008, Article ID 526734, 8 pages,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

This study attempts to characterize and predict stock returns series in Shanghai stock exchange using the concepts of nonlinear dynamical theory. Surrogate data method of multivariate time series shows that all the stock returns time series exhibit nonlinearity. Multivariate nonlinear prediction methods and univariate nonlinear prediction method, all of which use the concept of phase space reconstruction, are considered. The results indicate that multivariate nonlinear prediction model outperforms univariate nonlinear prediction model, local linear prediction method of multivariate time series outperforms local polynomial prediction method, and BP neural network method. Multivariate nonlinear prediction model is a useful tool for stock price prediction in emerging markets.

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2011年05月17日

【期刊论文】Improved piece-wise linear and nonlinear synchronization of a class of discrete chaotic systems

马军海, Ma Jun Haia* and Mu Ling Lingb

International Journal of Computer Mathematics Vol. 87, No. 3, March 2010, 619-628,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

This paper deals with the chaotic synchronization of a discrete chaotic system. Based on a stable analysis, improved piece-wise linear feedback and nonlinear feedback control methods were given. Both the methods can achieve chaotic synchronization efficiently with one control input. The range of coupling coefficient is calculated in both the methods. Compared with nonlinear controls, the improved piece-wise linear controls have simpler structures and can be obtained more easily. Finally, the numerical simulation results verified the effectiveness of both the methods.

chaos control, synchronization, discrete system, nonlinear

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2011年05月17日

【期刊论文】Hopf Bifurcation and Complexity of a Kind of Economic Systems

马军海, Jun-Hai Ma , , Tao Sun and Zhi-Qiang Wang

International Journal of Nonlinear Sciences and Numerical Simulation 8(3), 347-352, 2007,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

This paper studies Hopf bifurcation of a kind of complex economic systems with rich elasticity. The conditions for presence of bifurcation, the stability of periodic orbit before the emergence of Hopf bifurcation and the critical parameter value of the system are obtained. According to Taken s estimation the evolvement situation of the complex system is also given. Numerical examples are given to verify the validity of the present theory. The obtained result is of theoretical importance and has practical applications to exploring the inherence mechanism of the complicated continuous economic systems and establishing the reasonable macro control policy.

complex economic systems,, Hopf bifurcation,, stability

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2011年05月17日

【期刊论文】Exact solutions for a generalized nonlinear fractional Fokker Planck equation

马军海, Junhai Maa, Yanqin Liu a, b,

Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications 11(2010)515-521,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

This paper is devoted to investigating a generalized nonlinear Fokker Planck diffusion equation with external force and absorption. We first investigate the integer nonlinear anomalous diffusion, and we obtain the corresponding exact solution expressed by q-exponential function. The solutions of nonlinear diffusion equation with one-fractional derivative and multi-fractional derivative are also studied in detail, and the solutions can have a compact behavior or a long tailed behavior.

Fractional derivative, Multi-fractional equation, Anomalous diffusion, equationq-exponential function

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  • 马军海 邀请

    天津大学,天津

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