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牛东晓

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期刊论文

Power load forecasting using support vector machine and ant colony optimization

牛东晓Dongxiao Niu a Yongli Wang a Desheng Dash Wu bc*

Expert Systems with Applications 37(2010)2531-2539,-0001,():

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摘要/描述

This paper creates a system for power load forecasting using support vector machine and ant colony optimization. The method of colony optimization is employed to process large amount of data and eliminate redundant information. The system mines the historical daily loading which has the same meteorological category as the forecasting day in order to compose data sequence with highly similar meteorological features. With this method, we reduced SVM training data and overcame the disadvantage of very large data and slow processing speed when constructing SVM model. This paper proposes a new feature selection mechanism based on ant colony optimization in an attempt to combat the aforemention difficulties. The method is then applied to find optimal feature subsets in the fuzzy-rough data reduction process. The present work is applied to complex systems monitoring, the ant colony optimization can mine the data more overall and accurate than the original fuzzy-rough method, an entropy-based feature selector, and a transformation-based reduction method, PCA. Comparing with single SVM and BP neural network in short-term load forecasting, this new method can achieve greater forecasting accuracy. It denotes that the SVM-learning system has advantage when the information preprocessing is based on data mining technology.

【免责声明】以下全部内容由[牛东晓]上传于[2010年01月25日 21时21分17秒],版权归原创者所有。本文仅代表作者本人观点,与本网站无关。本网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。

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