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李永平, Y.P. Li a, ∗, G.H. Huangb, , S.L. Niec
Resources, Conservation and Recycling 54(2009)86-96,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, a robust interval-based minimax-regret analysis (RIMA) method is developed and applied to the identification of optimal water-resources-allocation strategies under uncertainty. The developed RIMAapproachcan address uncertainties with multiple presentations.Moreover, it can be usedfor analyzing all possible scenarios associated with different system costs/benefits and risk levels without making assumptions on probabilistic distributions for random variables. In its solution process, an intervalelement cost/benefit matrix can be transformed into an interval-element regret matrix, such that the decision makers can identify desired strategies based on inexact minimax regret (IMMR) criterion. Moreover, the fuzzy decision space is delimited into a more robust one through dimensional enlargement of the original fuzzy constraints. The developed method is applied to a case study of planning water resources allocation under uncertainty. The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated. They can help decision makers identify desired strategies for water-resources allocation with a compromise between maximized system benefit and minimized system-failure risk.
Decision making, Fuzzy sets, Interval-based, Minimax regret, Planning, Robust programming, Uncertainty, Water resources
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李永平, Y.P. Li a, b, G.H. Huang b, c, *, X.H. Nie b, S.L. Nie d
European Journal of Operational Research 189(2008)399-420,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, a two-stage fuzzy robust integer programming (TFRIP) method has been developed for planning environmental management systems under uncertainty. This approach integrates techniques of robust programming and two-stage stochastic programming within a mixed integer linear programming framework. It can facilitate dynamic analysis of capacity-expansion planning for waste management facilities within a multi-stage context. In the modeling formulation, uncertainties can be presented in terms of both possibilistic and probabilistic distributions, such that robustness of the optimization process could be enhanced. In its solution process, the fuzzy decision space is delimited into a more robust one by specifying the uncertainties through dimensional enlargement of the original fuzzy constraints. The TFRIP method is applied to a case study of long-term waste-management planning under uncertainty. The generated solutions for continuous and binary variables can provide desired waste-flow-allocation and capacity-expansion plans with a minimized system cost and a maximized system feasibility.
Decision-making, Environment, Integer programming, Robust programming, Two-stage stochastic, Uncertainty
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李永平, Y.P. Li a, b, *, G.H. Huang b, c, , G.Q. Wanga, Y.F. Huang a
Agricultural Water Management 96(2009)1807-1818,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
A hybrid fuzzy-stochastic water-management (FSWM) model is developed for agricultural sustainability under uncertainty, based on advancement of a multistage fuzzy-stochastic quadratic programming (MFSQP) approach. In MFSQP, uncertainties presented in terms of fuzziness and randomness can be incorporated within a multilayer scenario tree, such that revised decisions are permitted in each time period based on the realized values of the uncertain events. Moreover, fuzzy quadratic terms are used in the objective function to minimize the variation of satisfaction degrees among the constraints; it allows an increased flexibility in controlling the system risk in the optimization process. Results of the case study indicate that useful solutions for the planning of agricultural water management have been obtained. In the FSWM model, a number of policies for agricultural water supply are conducted. The results obtained can help decision makers to identify desired water-allocation schemes for agricultural sustainability under uncertainty, particularly when limited water resources are available for multiple competing users.
Fuzzy quadratic programming, Multistage, Optimization, Policy analysis, Stochastic, Uncertainty, Water management
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【期刊论文】Inexact fuzzy-stochastic constraint-softened programming-A case study for waste management
李永平, Y.P. Li a, *, G.H. Huang b, c, Z.F. Yang d, X. Chen e
Waste Management 29(2009)2165-2177,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, an inexact fuzzy-stochastic constraint-softened programming method is developed for municipal solid waste (MSW) management under uncertainty. The developed method can deal with multiple uncertainties presented in terms of fuzzy sets, interval values and random variables. Moreover, a number of violation levels for the system constraints are allowed. This is realized through introduction of violation variables to soften system constraints, such that the model's decision space can be expanded under demanding conditions. This can help generate a range of ecision alternatives under various conditions, allowing in-depth analyses of tradeoffs among economic objective, satisfaction degree, and constraint-violation risk. The developed method is applied to a case study of planning a MSW management system. The uncertain and dynamic information can be incorporated within a multi-layer scenario tree; revised decisions are permitted in each time period based on the realized values of uncertain events. Solutions associated with different satisfaction degree levels have been generated, corresponding to different constraint-violation risks. They are useful for supporting decisions of waste flow allocation and system-capacity expansion within a multistage context.
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李永平, Yongping Li, * and Gordon H. Huang,
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING SCIENCE Volume 26, Number 1, 2009,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In real-world municipal solid waste (MSW) management systems, identification of proper policies under uncertainty for accomplishing desired waste-disposal targets is critical. An inexact minimax regret integer programming (IMMRIP) method for the long-term planning of MSW management is developed. It incorporates the technique of minimax regret analysis (MMR) into an interval-parameter mixed-integer linear programming (IMILP) framework. The IMMRIP method can handle dual uncertainties presented as both random variables and interval values; it only needs a list of scenarios without any assumption on their probability distributions. It can facilitate dynamic analysis for decisions of system-capacity expansion and/or development within a multi-facility and multi-period context. Moreover, it can also be used for analyzing multiple scenarios associated with different system costs and risk levels. An interval-element cost matrix can be transformed into an interval-element regret matrix based on an interactive algorithm. Solutions based on an inexact minimax regret criterion can identify desired alternatives for MSW management and planning under a variety of uncertainties. In a companion paper, the developed method will be applied to a real case study in the City of Regina, Canada.
decision making, environment, inexact optimization, minimax regret, mixed integer linear programming, solid waste, uncertainty
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