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李永平, Y.P. Li a, b, G.H. Huang b, c, *, X.H. Nie b, S.L. Nie d
European Journal of Operational Research 189(2008)399-420,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, a two-stage fuzzy robust integer programming (TFRIP) method has been developed for planning environmental management systems under uncertainty. This approach integrates techniques of robust programming and two-stage stochastic programming within a mixed integer linear programming framework. It can facilitate dynamic analysis of capacity-expansion planning for waste management facilities within a multi-stage context. In the modeling formulation, uncertainties can be presented in terms of both possibilistic and probabilistic distributions, such that robustness of the optimization process could be enhanced. In its solution process, the fuzzy decision space is delimited into a more robust one by specifying the uncertainties through dimensional enlargement of the original fuzzy constraints. The TFRIP method is applied to a case study of long-term waste-management planning under uncertainty. The generated solutions for continuous and binary variables can provide desired waste-flow-allocation and capacity-expansion plans with a minimized system cost and a maximized system feasibility.
Decision-making, Environment, Integer programming, Robust programming, Two-stage stochastic, Uncertainty
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李永平, Y.P. Li a, ∗, G.H. Huangb, , S.L. Niec
Resources, Conservation and Recycling 54(2009)86-96,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, a robust interval-based minimax-regret analysis (RIMA) method is developed and applied to the identification of optimal water-resources-allocation strategies under uncertainty. The developed RIMAapproachcan address uncertainties with multiple presentations.Moreover, it can be usedfor analyzing all possible scenarios associated with different system costs/benefits and risk levels without making assumptions on probabilistic distributions for random variables. In its solution process, an intervalelement cost/benefit matrix can be transformed into an interval-element regret matrix, such that the decision makers can identify desired strategies based on inexact minimax regret (IMMR) criterion. Moreover, the fuzzy decision space is delimited into a more robust one through dimensional enlargement of the original fuzzy constraints. The developed method is applied to a case study of planning water resources allocation under uncertainty. The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated. They can help decision makers identify desired strategies for water-resources allocation with a compromise between maximized system benefit and minimized system-failure risk.
Decision making, Fuzzy sets, Interval-based, Minimax regret, Planning, Robust programming, Uncertainty, Water resources
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李永平, Y.P. Li a, *, G.H. Huang b, c, , Y.F. Huang d, H.D. Zhou e
Environmental Modelling & Software 24(2009)786-797,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, a multistage fuzzy-stochastic programming (MFSP) model is developed for tackling uncertainties presented as fuzzy sets and probability distributions. A vertex analysis approach is proposed for solving multiple fuzzy sets in the MFSP model. Solutions under a set of a-cut levels can be generated by solving a series of deterministic submodels. The developed method is applied to the planning of a case study for water-resources management. Dynamics and uncertainties of water availability (and thus water allocation and shortage) could be taken into account through generation of a set of representative scenarios within a multistage context. Moreover, penalties are exercised with recourse against any infeasibility, which permits in-depth analyses of various policy scenarios that are associated with different levels of economic consequences when the promised water-allocation targets are violated. The modeling results can help to generate a range of alternatives under various system conditions, and thus help decision makers to identify desired water-resources management policies under uncertainty.
Decision making, Dynamics, Fuzzy sets, Multistage, Stochastic analysis, Uncertainty, Water resources
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李永平, Y.P. Li a, *, G.H. Huang b, c, , P. Guo c, Z.F. Yang d, S.L. Nie e
European Journal of Operational Research 200(2010)536-550,-0001,():
-1年11月30日
In this study, a dual-interval vertex analysis (DIVA) method is developed, through incorporating the vertex method within an interval-parameter programming framework. The developed DIVA method can tackle uncertainties presented as dual intervals that exist in the objective function and the left- and right-hand sides of the modeling constraints. An interactive algorithm and a vertex analysis approach are proposed for solving the DIVA model. Solutions under an associated a-cut level can be generated by solving a series of deterministic submodels. They can help quantify relationships between the objective function value and the membership grade, which is meaningful for supporting in-depth analyses of tradeoffs between environmental and economic objectives as well as those between system optimality and reliability. A management problem in terms of regional air pollution control is studied to illustrate applicability of the proposed approach. The results indicate that useful solutions for planning the air quality management practices have been generated. They can help decision makers to identify desired pollution-abatement strategies with minimized costs and maximized environmental efficiencies.
Air quality, Decision making, Dual interval, Environment, Fuzzy programming, Optimization, Vertex analysis, Uncertainty
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