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2010年10月19日

【期刊论文】Two-stage planning for sustainable water-quality management under uncertainty

李永平, Y.P. Li a, *, G.H. Huang b, c,

Journal of Environmental Management 90(2009)2402-2413,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

In water-quality management problems, uncertainties may exist in a number of impact factors and pollution-related processes (e.g., the volume and strength of industrial wastewater and their ariations can be presented as random events through identifying a statistical distribution for each source); moreover, nonlinear relationships may exist among many system components (e.g., cost parameters may be functions of wastewater-discharge levels). In this study, an inexact two-stage stochastic quadratic programming (ITQP) method is developed for water-quality management under uncertainty. It is a hybrid of inexact quadratic programming (IQP) and two-stage stochastic programming (TSP) methods. The developed ITQP can handle not only uncertainties expressed as probability distributions and interval values but also nonlinearities in the objective function. It can be used for analyzing various scenarios that are associated with different levels of economic penalties or opportunity losses caused by improper policies. The ITQP is applied to a case of water-quality management to deal with uncertainties presented in terms of probabilities and intervals and to reflect dynamic interactions between pollutant loading and water quality. Interactive and derivative algorithms are employed for solving the ITQP model. The solutions are presented as combinations of deterministic, interval and distributional information, and can thus facilitate communications for different forms of uncertainties. They are helpful for managers in not only making decisions regarding wastewater discharge but also gaining insight into the tradeoff between the system benefit and the environmental requirement.

Environment, Optimization, Planning, Quadratic programming, Two-stage, Uncertainty, Water quality

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2010年10月19日

【期刊论文】Inexact fuzzy-stochastic constraint-softened programming-A case study for waste management

李永平, Y.P. Li a, *, G.H. Huang b, c, Z.F. Yang d, X. Chen e

Waste Management 29(2009)2165-2177,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

In this study, an inexact fuzzy-stochastic constraint-softened programming method is developed for municipal solid waste (MSW) management under uncertainty. The developed method can deal with multiple uncertainties presented in terms of fuzzy sets, interval values and random variables. Moreover, a number of violation levels for the system constraints are allowed. This is realized through introduction of violation variables to soften system constraints, such that the model's decision space can be expanded under demanding conditions. This can help generate a range of ecision alternatives under various conditions, allowing in-depth analyses of tradeoffs among economic objective, satisfaction degree, and constraint-violation risk. The developed method is applied to a case study of planning a MSW management system. The uncertain and dynamic information can be incorporated within a multi-layer scenario tree; revised decisions are permitted in each time period based on the realized values of uncertain events. Solutions associated with different satisfaction degree levels have been generated, corresponding to different constraint-violation risks. They are useful for supporting decisions of waste flow allocation and system-capacity expansion within a multistage context.

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2010年10月19日

【期刊论文】A multistage fuzzy-stochastic programming model for supporting sustainable water-resources allocation and management

李永平, Y.P. Li a, *, G.H. Huang b, c, , Y.F. Huang d, H.D. Zhou e

Environmental Modelling & Software 24(2009)786-797,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

In this study, a multistage fuzzy-stochastic programming (MFSP) model is developed for tackling uncertainties presented as fuzzy sets and probability distributions. A vertex analysis approach is proposed for solving multiple fuzzy sets in the MFSP model. Solutions under a set of a-cut levels can be generated by solving a series of deterministic submodels. The developed method is applied to the planning of a case study for water-resources management. Dynamics and uncertainties of water availability (and thus water allocation and shortage) could be taken into account through generation of a set of representative scenarios within a multistage context. Moreover, penalties are exercised with recourse against any infeasibility, which permits in-depth analyses of various policy scenarios that are associated with different levels of economic consequences when the promised water-allocation targets are violated. The modeling results can help to generate a range of alternatives under various system conditions, and thus help decision makers to identify desired water-resources management policies under uncertainty.

Decision making, Dynamics, Fuzzy sets, Multistage, Stochastic analysis, Uncertainty, Water resources

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2010年10月19日

【期刊论文】Inexact Minimax Regret Integer Programming for Long-Term Planning of Municipal Solid Waste Management-Part A: Methodology Development

李永平, Yongping Li, * and Gordon H. Huang,

ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING SCIENCE Volume 26, Number 1, 2009,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

In real-world municipal solid waste (MSW) management systems, identification of proper policies under uncertainty for accomplishing desired waste-disposal targets is critical. An inexact minimax regret integer programming (IMMRIP) method for the long-term planning of MSW management is developed. It incorporates the technique of minimax regret analysis (MMR) into an interval-parameter mixed-integer linear programming (IMILP) framework. The IMMRIP method can handle dual uncertainties presented as both random variables and interval values; it only needs a list of scenarios without any assumption on their probability distributions. It can facilitate dynamic analysis for decisions of system-capacity expansion and/or development within a multi-facility and multi-period context. Moreover, it can also be used for analyzing multiple scenarios associated with different system costs and risk levels. An interval-element cost matrix can be transformed into an interval-element regret matrix based on an interactive algorithm. Solutions based on an inexact minimax regret criterion can identify desired alternatives for MSW management and planning under a variety of uncertainties. In a companion paper, the developed method will be applied to a real case study in the City of Regina, Canada.

decision making, environment, inexact optimization, minimax regret, mixed integer linear programming, solid waste, uncertainty

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2010年10月19日

【期刊论文】Inexact Minimax Regret Integer Programming for Long-Term Planning of Municipal Solid Waste Management-Part B: Application

李永平, Yongping Li and Gordon H. Huang, , *

ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING SCIENCE Volume 26, Number 1, 2009,-0001,():

-1年11月30日

摘要

In this study, an inexact minimax regret mixed integer programming (IMMRIP) method is applied to long-term planning of municipal solid waste (MSW) management in the City of Regina. The method can help tackle the dynamic, interactive, and uncertain characteristics of the solid waste management system in the city, and can address issues concerning plans for cost-effective waste diversion and landfill prolongation. Thirty-six situations were examined based on multiple alternatives and scenarios under different waste-generation levels. Reasonable solutions have been generated for decisions of system-capacity expansion and waste-flow allocation, demonstrating complex tradeoffs among system cost, regret level, and constraint-violation risk. Solutions associated with further inexact minimax regret (IMMR) analyses can help tackle tradeoffs between minimized system cost and maximized system feasibility. Under the optimal alternative, the system would reach a maximum reliability with the lowest risks of penalty and wastage. Results provide valuable inputs for adjustment of the existing waste flow allocation patterns to satisfy the city's diversion goals, long-term capacity planning for the city's waste management system, and generation desired policies for managing the city's waste collection and treatment.

decision making, diversion, environment, planning, scenario analysis, solid waste, uncertainty

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    北京大学,北京

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